According to a baseline survey by Professor Smart Sarpong, Director of Research and Innovation at Kumasi Technical University (KsTU), Vice President Dr. Mahamudu Bawumia is currently the front-runner to win the presidency over John Dramani Mahama, with six months to go until the presidential election on December 7.At a news conference on Wednesday, June 5, 2024, Associate Professor of Statistics Professor Sarpong and his colleagues presented their findings. 38.9% of respondents said they chose Dr. Mahamudu Bawumia, while 36.1% said they preferred John Dramani Mahama. All other presidential contenders combined gained 3.6%, while Dr. Bawumia led in the Ahafo, Ashanti, Bono, Central, Eastern, North East, Western, and Western North regions.In the 2024 election, the National Democratic Congress (NDC) is leading with 38.8% of the vote, while the New Patriotic Party (NPP) is trailing with 34.5%. In the Bono East, Greater Accra, Northern, Oti, Savannah, Upper East, Upper West, and Volta regions, the NDC is the most popular party as of the end of April 2024. According to the report, NPP and NDC are equally popular in the Western North.Furthermore, at the end of April 2024, a sizable portion of prospective party supporters (23.1%) had not chosen a party, indicating that they may hold off until they get interested in one of the parties. The North East has the lowest percentage of undecided supporters (9.8%), while the Western area has the greatest (38%). As of April 30, 2024, the nation’s smaller parties are still unpopular as a whole.
Frequency Percent for all 16 regions
The national
38.8% of Democratic 23080
Congress (NDC)
34.5% of New Patriotic 20564
Party (NPP)
2167 3.6% Other Party
23.1% of 13735 are undecided.
59546 100% in total
Observations from section A
As of late April 2024, 38.8% of respondents said they would likely support the NDC in the next election, making it the most popular political party.In the Bono East, Greater Accra, Northern, Oti, Savannah, Upper East, Upper West, and Volta regions, the NDC is more popular than the NPP.In the Western North, the NPP and NDC are equally popular.By the end of April 2024, a sizable portion of prospective party supporters (23.1%) were still unsure about their party preference and might not make up their minds until they get interested in a particular party.The North East has the lowest percentage of undecided supporters (9.8%), while the Western area has the greatest (38%).As of April 30, 2024, the nation’s smaller parties as a whole continue to be unpopular.
In the 2024 presidential election, whose candidate are you most likely to back?
Frequency Percent for all 16 regions
38.9% Dr. Mahamudu 23432
NPP’s Bawumia
36.1% John Dramani 21237
Mahama (NDC)
The remaining 2114 3.6%
12763 Undecided 21.4%
59546 100% in total
In the 2024 presidential election, whose candidate are you most likely to back?
Remarks: With 38.9% of the vote, Dr. Mahamudu Bawumia (NPP) is the front-runner and John Dramani Mahama (NDC) is in second place with 36.1%.The Ahafo, Ashanti, Bono, Central, Eastern, North East, Western, and Western North regions are led by Dr. Mahamudu Bawumia (NPP).Up to 3.6% is being gained by all other presidential candidates combined.As of the end of April 2024, over 21.4% of potential voters were still unsure about which presidential candidate to support, and they might not make up their minds until they decide to back one of the contenders.Sixty percent of votes in the North East region have chosen Dr. Mahamudu Bawumia (NPP), whereas seventy-five percent of voters in the Volta region have chosen John Dramani Mahama (NDC).
